If you’ve ever wondered why I haven’t attempted more statistical machinations to predict race results, today’s races are an example of why I haven’t. Â Actually, I’ve spent a fair bit of time trying to build some models that will predict performance, but what I’ve learned is that skiers are too variable for reasonably simple models […]
Also tagged eqpb, mass start, pursuit, race snapshot, World CupOnce again thanks to my data connection over at WorldofXC.com for the sprint splits data. Â The overall picture for the women’s race is about what you’d expect: Petra Majdic basically crushed everyone in sight, and in fact the closest anyone really came to her was in qualification. Â After a rough start to her season, this […]
Also tagged classic, Sprint, World CupGreat day for North America, overall. Â Fantastic races by Kershaw and Harvey and strong efforts by Freeman and Randall (for a classic sprint, not her specialty, certainly not Freeman’s). Â Newell probably isn’t thrilled with his 12th place, given how much stumbling around it sounded like he did during the semis, but it’s not a terrible […]
Also tagged classic, race snapshot, Sprint, World CupThese race snapshot graphs are quite a bit different from usual. Â First, today’s pursuit is essentially an old style two day pursuit with the techniques reversed (skating yesterday, classic today). Â So the stage results from today include yesterday’s time (minus the bonus seconds from yesterday). Â Hence, my race snapshot graphs won’t compare today’s stage to […]
Also tagged race snapshot, World CupI debated whether these snapshot graphs would be sensible for the prologue (and also some other TdS stages as well) since the race formats during the Tour are a bit odd, so comparisons to the past are fairly tenuous. Â Also, I think the prologue event is kind of dumb, but that’s just my own bias. […]
Also tagged race snapshot, World CupOk, so this isn’t much of a preview. Â Rather it’s just a bird’s eye view of what happened last year using some bumps plots. Â Here’s how things played out for the men: The median skier can sort of be thought of as the “peloton”. Â As you can see, not much happened until Stage 5, the […]
Also tagged bump chart, World Cup