Ok, so I lied in the title. This post has almost nothing to do with Torin Koos. The whole reason I started this blog (or, at least, one of them) was that it seemed to me that folks in the XC skiing world had all sorts of weird beliefs about their sport that ought to […]
Also tagged fact checking, heats, qualification, SprintI was skimming FasterSkier’s write-up of the Tour de Ski prologue yesterday and noted their comment about how Liz Stephen “… is generally stronger over longer distances, performing better in 10k’s than 5k’s and even better still in 15k’s.” That has been my informal impression as well, but I was suddenly skeptical about whether her actual […]
Also tagged Distance, liz stephen, women, World CupI’ll be the first to admit that sprinting doesn’t get as much love here at Statistical Skier. Â To be honest, that’s probably my subconscious at work, as I have a stronger connection to distance events I suppose. Â But it’s not terribly fair, so here is some World Cup sprint qualification analysis for all you sprint […]
Also tagged bootstrapping, pace, qualification, R, SprintThe title of this post has dramatically over-promised on the actual content. Â Sorry. I’ve talked a little before about race penalties. Â Since race penalties are specifically intended to adjust for the strength of the field, I thought it would interesting to think up some way to see how well they do that. Everything having to […]
Also tagged opa cup, scandinavian cup, World CupIn a previous post I raised the question of whether biathletes might be more likely to shoot clean (i.e. hit all five targets) if they have just shot clean at their most recent trip through the shooting range. I left off with some numbers that suggested this was the case, but they were aggregated over […]
Also tagged biathlon, clutch, probability, shooting, World CupA while back I responded to a reader requesting that I look into any connections between a skier’s performance at World Juniors and subsequent medal winning. Â My conclusions there tended toward the ambiguous, since 2-4 races (from World Juniors) just isn’t a whole lot of information. But we can also just take medalists and look […]
Also tagged Age, development, Distance, goalsAnother interesting data-centric post appeared over at NCCSEF, and when it comes to data, I just can’t help myself but comment. This time we’ve got some slides that seem to be trying to draw a relationship between WJC results and winning a medal at (I believe) the Vancouver Olympic Games. We’re only shown the (partial) […]
Also tagged medals, podium, prediction, technical