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A Tough Year For Sweden?

It struck me glancing at the results last weekend that I feel like Sweden has been having a bit of a sub-par year. Which might seem a little strange, given Johan Olsson’s recent return to form, but hear me out. Certainly, they’ve had some skiers with some great results. But I feel like overall they’ve struggled a bit. When I glanced at a summary of their men’s distance results, it seemed I might be imagining things:

But then when you look at some other categories, you see something different. For instance, men’s sprinting:

That’s a pretty consistent decline across the board. Of course, this comes after a fairly recent resurgence. And the explanation is pretty clear:

Hellner and Modin are simply not having a good time with the sprinting this year.

The Swedish women have had similar problems, beginning with distance events:

and continuing with sprints:

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Race Snapshot: WBC Mass Start

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Race Snapshot: Oslo Women’s 30k Classic

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Race Snapshot: Oslo Men’s 50k

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World Biathlon Champs: USA/CAN Histories

Since I’ve been neglecting biathlon a bit lately, I figured I owed everyone a biathlon post, particularly given the shocking 5th place finish the other day by Susan Dunklee.

So here is some historical data on how the US and Canada have performed at WBCs over the years. First, measured by finishing place:

The blue line tracks the median, so it’s sort of a measure of overall team performance. Also interesting is to look at how the best and worst results have trended over the years. For instance, for the US women, you see their median remaining mostly flat overall, with some modest improvements lately. But their best result generally got worse through the late 90’s, and then has improved dramatically (with some notable exceptions in the middle there).

To go along with that, we have a historical look at overall, team shooting performance at WBCs over the years:

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Race Snapshot: WBC Women’s 15km

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Race Snapshot: Drammen Sprints

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