I got some positive feedback about my tentative handicapping of the field for one of the WSC events, so I thought I’d sink some more time in it. I went back and changed the modeling technique rather dramatically to make it more flexible (and hopefully more accurate). But the basic idea is the same. In […]
Tagged classic, Davos, men, seeding, Sprint, women, World CupI haven’t had as much time to pour into longer projects for posts this winter, so I really just slapped this together very quickly. I won’t get into too many of the technical details, but basically this is the result of a simple model that looks at people’s results given the length, technique and type […]
Tagged Distance, freestyle, men, wild speculation, women, WSCA few more U23 historical performance plots, this time two European nations that happen to have some noticeable trends. First, Finland: The women have seen a drop off in distance results post-Lahteenmaki, but the men’s have declined steadily for quite some time now. The other nation we’re going to look at is Sweden: I mostly […]
Tagged Analysis, U23I was recapping  WJC results last week by comparing them to each nation’s historical performance. Let’s do the same thing this week, but with U23s. Starting with the Americans: The trend isn’t spectacular, but each group managed at least one or two decent results (compared to previous years). As for the Canadians: The men’s distance […]
Tagged canada, U23, USAWith a couple of races at WJC/U23s under our belts, let’s check in with how some nations are doing compared to previous years. Some obvious trends include Finland: Their junior women have continued to do worse in the distance events, but have improved in the sprint. For the Russians, it’s largely been more of the […]
Tagged Analysis, junior, WJC