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{ Category Archives } Analysis

Randall’s Training Deficit

It’s remarked on in a few places that we might finally be seeing the effects of Kikkan Randall’s injury struggles over the summer. Another skier who had some strong early races and then has struggled as times during the season is Holly Brooks, so let’s look at their actual (WC, TDS and WSC) results from […]

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An Unusual 15km Freestyle

Yesterday’s men’s 15km freestyle interval start race featured one of the most split fields we’ve seen in that event in a long time. The top three, Northug, Olsson and Gjerdalen had modest gaps between them, but then there was just over 30 seconds back to 4th place. How big was this gap between the podium […]

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WSC 30/50km Mass Start Seeding

Just as with the previous seeding tables I’ve produced, here’s one for the upcoming WSC mass start. Again, this ignores issues of who might actually start the race (e.g. Astrid Jacobsen makes my list here) and some folks who may only have done a small number of races will be excluded. [table id=86 /] To […]

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Patience Is Not A Virtue

I’m going to do something stupid in this post. I’m going to disagree with someone who has likely forgotten more about the sport of XC skiing than I will ever know. It’s World Championship team selection time, and in North America that pretty reliably means some drama from the peanut gallery, represented here by the […]

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Davos Classic Sprint Field Handicap

I got some positive feedback about my tentative handicapping of the field for one of the WSC events, so I thought I’d sink some more time in it. I went back and changed the modeling technique rather dramatically to make it more flexible (and hopefully more accurate). But the basic idea is the same. In […]

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Handicapping WSC 10/15km Freestyle

I haven’t had as much time to pour into longer projects for posts this winter, so I really just slapped this together very quickly. I won’t get into too many of the technical details, but basically this is the result of a simple model that looks at people’s results given the length, technique and type […]

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U23 Recap: Finland & Sweden

A few more U23 historical performance plots, this time two European nations that happen to have some noticeable trends. First, Finland: The women have seen a drop off in distance results post-Lahteenmaki, but the men’s have declined steadily for quite some time now. The other nation we’re going to look at is Sweden: I mostly […]

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